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If we don't have any MCV statistics for the inner relation, and we don't trust its numdistinct estimate either, eqjoinsel_semi falls back to a very conservative estimate (that 50% of the outer rows have matches). This is particularly problematic if the inner relation is completely empty, since then even an explicit ANALYZE won't produce any pg_statistic entries, so there's no way to budge the planner off the bad estimate. We'd produce a better estimate in such cases if we used the nd2/nd1 selectivity heuristic, so an easy fix is to treat the nd2 estimate as non-default if we derive it from clamping to the inner rel's rowcount estimate. This won't fix every related case (mainly because the rowcount estimate might be larger than DEFAULT_NUM_DISTINCT), but it seems like a sane extension of the existing logic, so let's apply the change in HEAD and see if anyone complains. Per bug #14438 from Nikolay Nikitin. Report: https://postgr.es/m/20161128182113.6527.58926@wrigleys.postgresql.org Discussion: https://postgr.es/m/31089.1480384713@sss.pgh.pa.us
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